Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.670165 0.868308 1.092209 1.360723 1.670796 2.014590 2.421532
2025-03-09 0.437159 0.694715 1.023136 1.457634 2.002758 2.650411 3.464232
2025-03-16 0.262457 0.526266 0.908711 1.464586 2.214917 3.158688 4.401290
2025-03-23 0.178770 0.448809 0.888089 1.577509 2.561335 3.850731 5.604114
2025-03-30 0.116175 0.375045 0.849521 1.650429 2.851619 4.482318 6.760056
2025-04-06 0.070228 0.305134 0.794919 1.683415 3.079400 5.035596 7.832902
2025-04-13 0.035451 0.230977 0.707787 1.644356 3.189033 5.423715 8.693650
2025-04-20 0.018201 0.185628 0.660138 1.659065 3.373893 5.918646 9.709736
2025-04-27 0.008384 0.149684 0.618950 1.675061 3.555976 6.411285 10.732425
2025-05-04 0.002353 0.109816 0.550339 1.624784 3.620646 6.727918 11.511760
2025-05-11 0.000275 0.077725 0.484599 1.565343 3.659606 7.001230 12.230900
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.060536 0.454300 1.573439 3.812452 7.450216 13.211267
2025-05-25 NaN 0.041796 0.405561 1.533468 3.880119 7.776111 14.032939
2025-06-01 NaN 0.037115 0.411822 1.624111 4.193128 8.500975 15.463350
2025-06-08 NaN 0.027007 0.383425 1.624193 4.335372 8.956372 16.502310
2025-06-15 NaN 0.025410 0.399808 1.741221 4.706786 9.792476 18.129252
2025-06-22 NaN 0.021757 0.400730 1.817030 5.001209 10.509705 19.588892
2025-06-29 NaN 0.016825 0.387234 1.851121 5.214455 11.097998 20.862397
2025-07-06 NaN 0.010399 0.349393 1.808890 5.271251 11.426578 21.743605
2025-07-13 NaN 0.007238 0.332593 1.824288 5.444143 11.952075 22.934639
2025-07-20 NaN 0.004901 0.317412 1.841195 5.619428 12.483881 24.141659
2025-07-27 NaN 0.002323 0.282747 1.787494 5.641221 12.752349 24.941374
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000823 0.248237 1.724016 5.635446 12.970268 25.662744